UNC
W-L: ( 5- 7) PR = 74.4651Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 901 H TCU B12 ( 9- 4, 84.0) 14-48 906 A Charlotte AME ( 1-11, 49.9) 20- 3 913 H Richmond 41- 6 920 A UCF B12 ( 4- 8, 70.0) 34- 9 1004 H Clemson ACC ( 7- 6, 79.3) 10-38 1017 A California ACC ( 7- 6, 74.6) 18-21 1025 H Virginia ACC (11- 3, 84.5) 16-17 1031 A Syracuse ACC ( 3- 9, 68.6) 27-10 1108 H Stanford ACC ( 4- 8, 74.3) 20-15 1115 A Wake Forest ACC ( 9- 4, 79.2) 12-28 1122 H Duke ACC ( 9- 5, 81.2) 25-32 1129 A NC St ACC ( 9- 4, 83.0) 19-42
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
901 H TCU 14-48 -34 -4 --- -9.76
906 A Charlotte 20- 3 17 19 0.00
920 A UCF 34- 9 25 -1 +++ 14.79
1004 H Clemson 10-38 -28 0 --- -14.42
1017 A California 18-21 -3 -5 + 2.43
1025 H Virginia 16-17 -1 -5 + 3.82
1031 A Syracuse 27-10 17 1 +++ 13.41
1108 H Stanford 20-15 5 5 -0.43
1115 A Wake Forest 12-28 -16 -10 -- -4.03
1122 H Duke 25-32 -7 -1 -- -5.57
1129 A NC St 19-42 -23 -14 -0.22
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 901 H TCU 14-48 -34 -4 --- -9.76 1004 H Clemson 10-38 -28 0 --- -14.42 1115 A Wake Forest 12-28 -16 -10 -- -4.03 1122 H Duke 25-32 -7 -1 -- -5.57 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 A UCF 34- 9 25 -1 +++ 14.79 1031 A Syracuse 27-10 17 1 +++ 13.41 1017 A California 18-21 -3 -5 + 2.43 1025 H Virginia 16-17 -1 -5 + 3.82 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H TCU ( 9- 4, 84.0) 14-48 -15.93 35.29 -5.26 1.16 -12.28
0 A Charlotte ( 1-11, 49.9) 20- 3 -50.04 1.18 5.26 1.16 14.92
0 A UCF ( 4- 8, 70.0) 34- 9 -29.91 21.31 5.26 1.16 61.60
0 H Clemson ( 7- 6, 79.3) 10-38 -20.59 30.63 -5.26 1.16 -14.98
0 A California ( 7- 6, 74.6) 18-21 -25.27 25.95 5.26 1.16 -11.60
0 H Virginia (11- 3, 84.5) 16-17 -15.36 35.86 -5.26 1.16 -11.95
0 A Syracuse ( 3- 9, 68.6) 27-10 -31.29 19.93 5.26 1.16 58.39
0 H Stanford ( 4- 8, 74.3) 20-15 -25.61 25.61 -5.26 1.16 47.18
0 A Wake Forest ( 9- 4, 79.2) 12-28 -20.73 30.49 5.26 1.16 -8.96
0 H Duke ( 9- 5, 81.2) 25-32 -18.74 32.48 -5.26 1.16 -13.91
0 A NC St ( 9- 4, 83.0) 19-42 -16.92 34.30 5.26 1.16 -6.76
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101.65
|
winning pts = 182.0940 losing points = -80.4432
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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